Democrats debate

September 29th, 2007

Politics, Dems….and the Bubble of Unreality

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Written by: Verna Smith

For Democrats– party members and presidential candidates, alike, much political capital is at stake with every discussion about the war. Talk about being between a rock and hard place. That is where the Democrats are on the issue of the war and their goal to win the White House in 2008. Yes, they are eager to score a winning edge, therefore every moment –how they project handling the war puts their ‘stock in trade’ in jeopardy. Why? Voter support either increases by the minute or evaporates to a trace should they fail as a party to dish up the right solution to deal with the war and terrorism, particularly, in the Middle East.

Quite frankly, any pledge for absolute withdrawal of U.S. troops within the first term by any candidate, Democrat or Republican, speaks to someone inhabiting a bubble of political unreality. The Democrats, hopefully understand this and front runners, Clinton, Obama and Edwards, wisely are refusing even under fire from the very left within their party to make such a promise.

The seventh debate of 2007, among Democrats, and held at Dartmouth College, saw all eight candidates participating; and all responses to Tim Russert’s (Meet the Press-NBC) question on the war, immigration and health care were carefully crafted not to alienate any segment of the party’s base (particularly those left of left) and of course, Independent voters who are being wooed to create that winning edge needed in the next elections.

Democrats have not fallen prey to that which would seem most easy: the call for a total pull out of the troops– suggested by a significant percentage of Americans. For example, Senator Clinton asked what she would do abut ending the war (absolute withdrawal) said “It is my goal to have all combat troops out by the end of my first term, but it’s difficult to answer that question because we don’t know what we will be inheriting at the end of President’s Bush’s second term. To that same question, Senator Obama responded ” I believe we should have all the troops out by 2013,” although he believes that would be irresponsible to project so far into the future on what circumstances might be in Iraq. This debate, slated as the night/moment for each candidate to show his/her grasp as the “leader”in the pack, had former Senator Edwards firing back that although he could not make a commitment to withdraw the troops he would “immediately begin to draw down 40,000 to 50,000 troops….”. From all responses one could glean that irrespective of what shape the campaign takes in the future, “ending the war” has emerged as a wedge issue.

Therefore, walking a tight rope in saying what can be accomplished in Iraq is critical, and clearly Democrats are split on how to achieve a meaningful solution. Not to mention that as “fears of terrorism” rears it head, conservatives understand as savvy political players, that identifying the Democrats as the party “to cut and run” could undermine their potential win to the White House. What is needed for another GOP success? Among other things, playing up the sentiments of opponents (democrats/republicans) of immigration: reform, amnesty, and the push for Universal health care. In short, Democrats can only perceive and hold on to likely gains by fully understanding that being part of a buzz and bubble are completely two different things. Consequently, playing the ‘right cards’– and understanding the politics on the war must be balanced with a full grasp of the “national picture” and not taking for granted anything that spells or looks like over confidence.

An expected victory at the polls (primary) could be “razor thin” and defections possible even among ardent supporters weary for an “end in sight.” Questions: Is it unrealistic to expect an end to the war in the first term of anyone elected in 2008? And despite concerns about finding solutions on health care and illegal immigration, will the war and issues directly tied to ittroop withdrawal, determine who becomes the next president? Share your thoughts! Comments?

VernaSmith


About the Author

Verna Smith
Verna Smith loves politics. Its her passion. An award-winning journalist, political commentator and former producer of "The Roundtable"she holds a a BS degree in Broadcast/journalism and M.A. in Political Science from Syracuse University. The editor-in-chief of this website she welcomes you to join in: vibrant, robust conversations here or at VernaPolitics (Twitter) and also at Facebook-- Verna Politics.




  • Jay

    With threats of war and rumors of terrorism, real or imagined, for as long as I can project we will see ‘wars without end’. Cant spin it any other way– Can we O’Reilly?

  • Garfield T

    great post!

    The democrats have very little time to prove a winning strategy given the impatience of supporters; a workable strategy must show troops will be provided with essentialsto fight the war– doing less will make a 2008 victory for them just “wishful thinking”. The war will be the barometer on which party gets to that place on Pennylvania Avenue–no two ways about it!!

  • Anonymous

    The war is certainly the focus of possibly what is going wrong in the country.Hopefully the appropriate decisions will be made and the war will be brought to an end.Expending so much of taxpayers money can’t seem to be the answer with nothing happening that is exciting. The Iraquis don’t seem to be having life any better and are yet to have some of their basic needs met.No electricity and lack of running water.Undoubtedly it will be difficult for whomevever becomes the President.May God guide the right person with the right answers.

  • Ray

    Well, now they have “lots” of money for the campaign, it would appear Dems are really on their way to White House–wrong.

    They are surely walking a tight rope as you mentioned because there are no solutions coming from that part of the isle in Congress that is working. Hillary or Obama still have work to do. And the race is far from over– Iraq clearly will be a deciding factor.


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